RE-EXAMINING THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN INFLATION, EXCHANGE RATE AND ECONOMIC GROWTH IN NIGERIA

Abstract

This paper re-examining the relationship between inflation, exchange rate and economic growth in Nigeria. The study used annual time series data from 1981 to 2016 sourced from Central Bank of Nigeria Statistical Bulletin (CBN). The study employed ARDL Model to test for short and long run relationship among the variables. The empirical results show that there is long run relationship among the variables. The short run result reveals that only inflation has a negative relationship with economic growth in Nigeria. The indirect relationship between inflation and economic growth requires urgent attention by government because variation in exchange rate translate to export and import of goods and services will be associated with inflation as the fluctuation in exchange rate leads to upward and downward trend in price.